Overtaxing the economy

Oh, taxes. We cannot avoid them. And the fact is that the wealthier your country is, chances are that your government's revenue as a portion of GDP is higher, too.

A Lower Minimum Wage

it is relatively more expensive to hire people in Colombia than in any of the other South American nations. It is no coincidence that Colombia has South America’s highest unemployment rate.

Comparing Neighbors

Venezuela and Colombia have followed very different economic policies in the past decade. See how they have done in 11 cool, educational graphs.

Destituir Congresistas

¿Puede el Procurador General de la Nación destituir congresistas? Se puede decir de todo acerca del Procurador Alejandro Ordóñez menos que ha no trabaja con dedicación

Salario y Desempleo

los datos entre 1990 y 2007 no están en contra de la hipótesis de que salarios mínimos más altos han afectado negativamente la tasa de empleo en Colombia.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

208 días: el nuevo hiper pico y placa de Samuel Moreno

Publicado por Gusilcan
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Tanto Bogotá como su alcalde, Samuel Moreno, van por mal camino. Y las estadísticas y encuestas lo demuestran. En el año y veintisiete días que lleva la administración de Samuel Moreno, la ciudad se ha vuelto más insegura (aumento en la tasa de homicidios de 18 a 19,1 por cada 100.000 habitantes), los embotellamientos más frecuentes (según Semana, una revista, el lunes pasado hubo bogotanos que quedaron atascados hasta por tres horas a causa de un feroz aguacero) y los impuestos más altos (Semana también nos informa que el impuesto predial subirá hasta un 70%(!)). No exagero al decir que hoy, a comparación de hace un año, Bogotá es hoy un lugar peor para vivir.

Claro que sería insensato adjudicarle toda la responsabilidad al alcalde Moreno. Al fin y al cabo, el 1.400.000 vehículos que circulan a diario por Bogotá no aparecieron todos bajo su administración, y las alcaldías anteriores también deben su cuota de culpa por no expandir la malla vial de la ciudad a tiempo y dejar que el problema se saliera de las manos. Hoy, conducir por Bogotá es más estresante y consume más tiempo que antes, el estado de muchas calles es deplorable (según el mismo distrito, un 46% de la malla vial bogotana está en mal estado(!)) y no hay solución visible. El metro, la promesa de campaña bandera de Samuel Moreno, aun es una quimera.

El alcalde, entonces, ha decidido por fin poner manos a la obra, después de lidiar con el Concejo de la ciudad, que con actitud cuasi-chantajista le tuvo las manos atadas durante un buen tiempo, con un Presidente Uribe que no lo quiere mucho y con otros problemas de seguridad que le han quitado tiempo y sueño también, seguramente. Las obras que Moreno hará, según él, no tienen precedentes en la ciudad. Ni "mi abuelo" dice, hizo cosas tan grandes como las que él hará, refiriéndose al dictador Gustavo Rojas Pinilla recordado por muchos como el modernizador del país y la ciudad.

Pero ante las obras, acierta Moreno, los traumatismos en las calles serán evidentes y dolorosos. La construcción traerá más embotellamientos y más estrés para los bogotanos. Serán periodos de paciencia y dolores de cabeza. ¿Qué hacer para mitigar los dolores de parto? La solución Morénica (antónimo de Salomónica) fue la de prohibir la circulación de todos los carros particulares durante dos días a la semana de 6am a 8pm, es decir, una ampliación de la ya tradicional (e igualmente detestable) restricción vehicular actual, que prohibe la circulación de automóviles dos días por semana sólo durante las horas pico de la mañana y la tarde. Lo repito: Bogotá va por mal camino.

La reacción de muchos bogotanos no se ha hecho esperar. En foros de Internet, la calle, sus casas, la televisión, la radio, bogotanos del común y personajes reconocidos se han pronunciado duramente en contra de la nueva medida, que no puede ser descrita con otras palabras que arbitraria, desmesurada y contraproducente. En primer lugar, la medida no fue aprobada ni debatida a priori por el Concejo de la ciudad. Asimismo, la decisión significa que los bogotanos no podrán sacar su automóvil 104 días en el año , aunque nadie ha hablado de que el impuesto de rodamiento debe bajar un 28,4% (o sea el porcentaje equivalente al número de días en un año en los que usted no podrá sacar su carro). La Secretaría de Movilidad y la Alcaldía sostienen su decisión basándose en una encuesta telefónica hecha a 900 personas de "todos los estratos y localidades del distrito" que mostró un 70% de favorabilidad por la medida. El Tiempo, un periódico anti-Morenista, ya salió a poner en tela de juicio la credibilidad de dicha encuesta.

Aunque en principio, según Moreno, la medida de este hiper-pico y placa durará dos años solamente (tranquilo, eso sólo serán 208 días en los que usted no podrá sacar el carro entre 6 am y 8 pm), que a nadie le sorprenda si se vuelve algo permanente. Hay muchos que, con estoicismo casi marxista, estarán dispuestos a sacrificarse por "el bien general" y dejarán su automóvil guardado, así la deuda que hayan adquirido para conseguirlo no se vaya a volver ni un centavo menor gracias a la medida del alcalde.

De todas formas, desde el 6 de febrero, los habitantes de Bogotá no tendrán otra opción: cada dos días, lunes a viernes, el carro se queda en casa. Tendrá que buscar taxi, caminar, tomar el bus, hacer combo con algún amigo, pelear por un sitio en Transmilenio o simplemente dejar de ir al trabajo o a la universidad. Incluso, para los que estaban pensándolo, algunos Concejales ya están mirando cómo hacer más difícil la compra de un segundo automóvil para la evasión de la medida, por ejemplo, haciendo aleatorio el sistema de rotación de placas.

Mientras tanto, yo sólo les recuerdo que no hay restricción vehicular en Nueva York, Los Ángeles, Sao Paulo, Tokio, París, Madrid, Londres (a excepción del centro de la ciudad, al que se ingresa pagando), Buenos Aires, Caracas (el alcalde de Chacao, un municipio que hace parte del área metropolitana de Caracas quiso implementarlo, pero lo frenaron obstáculos populares e institucionales. La alcaldía incluso se vio obligada a regresar el dinero de las multas), Lima, y muchas otras grandes ciudades del mundo.

Bogotá, no tengo duda alguna, es la única capital de un país democrático donde la medida afecta a todos los vehículos dos veces por semana (en Ciudad de México, donde también hay restricción, es sólo una vez de Lunes a Viernes, y solamente aplica a carros que no pasen un test ambiental o que sean de fuera del DF; en Santiago de Chile la restricción existe sólo para los automóviles que contaminan más, a causa de la mala ventilación de la ciudad y se hace por razones puramente ambientales). Mientras tanto, los habitantes de Bogotá deberán soportar las arbitrariedades del hasta ahora infortunado alcalde (su popularidad está en caída libre: del 60% en 2008 bajó al 32% en 2009). Muy pocos piensan en el derecho de los contribuyentes a utilizar vías en buen estado en el momento en el que lo requieran. Para eso pagan sus impuestos. Mi única esperanza es que alguna instancia judicial se interponga en el camino del hiper-pico y placa y cambie la situación.


Y pensar que todavía queda hasta el 31 de diciembre del 2011 (!) para que el señor Moreno deje su puesto...

Friday, January 23, 2009

Mind your own Business: bureaucracy, poverty and pointless regulations

Publicado por Gusilcan
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Sometimes, people have the notion that many developing countries have embraced capitalism, but that the West's liberal recipe for economic growth has not delivered in places like Latin America, Africa and South East Asia. Hence, something has to be wrong with capitalism or, perhaps, with those people living in countries where the free market does not seem to be working its wonders. It's either the system or the culture, some say. Maybe capitalism is not an adequate system for all types of cultures, and in the wrong environments, free markets simply won't work.

Before you buy into this, I want to point out the following. I don't have the intention nor the capacity to refute all the capitalism-bashing literature out there in one blog post. However, I can call to your attention some facts that must give us some pause for thought.

Every year, the World Bank issues a comprehensive report on how easy it is to do business around the globe. The report gathers a great deal of data in 181 countries about the cost, financial or otherwise, of opening and closing a business, hiring workers, getting construction permits, and trading with the outside world in all these different places. As such, the report is a great indicator of economic freedom worldwide.

These three graphs show that there is a trend: poorer countries have restrictive, time-consuming and costly procedures for opening a business. To start a business in Haiti, you need to go notarize deeds, get a "Professional Identity Card" from the Ministry of Commerce, obtain and legalize special commercial books and, among other things, publish an act of constitution in an official legal journal called Le Moniteur. Getting this last step done can take up to 150 days, according to the report. In Haiti you also need to hire a lawyer for the drafting of the company's statutes. Moreover, only obtaining your tax ID number can take up to 15 days, whereas in New Zealand, for instance, the same procedure only takes one day -and after that, New Zealanders are free to get their businesses up and running.

Although the Haitian case is particularly bad, the same trend repeats itself over and over: people in poorer countries have to deal with paperwork, bureaucrats, pointless fees, inspections, registrations, more bureaucrats and more pointless fees before they can start their own business. As a whole, those States end up suffocating entrepreneurship and slowing down their economies. I do not mean to say that reducing the costs of doing business would all of a sudden bring wealth and prosperity to poor nations (after all, development depends on many other factors) -but it would be a great start.

Perhaps we should not blame capitalism for the poverty of those places where it has not been applied correctly.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Please, just pack and leave: George Bush's last day in the White House

Publicado por Gusilcan
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In his last day as President of the United States, George Walker Bush did not have any scheduled events. His last hours at the White House were planned to be "mostly private", spending some time with Laura Bush at the residence and making thank you phone calls to world leaders. He is probably finished with all his packing already.
He's moving out so the Obamas can move in.

Eight years ago, when Bill and Hillary Clinton were in the same position where Bush is today, the world was a different place. The US was not fighting wars abroad and it was widely respected as the leader of the Free World, America had a budget surplus and no big security threat was in sight for the American people (of course, Al Qaeda was lurking around with its murderous plans on US territory, as the CIA suspected at the time...).

To be fair, Mr. Bush also received an economy in recession months after he became President (Republicans dubbed it a "Clinton recession" in order to blame the Democrat), although the mess we are seeing today is definitely worse than the downturn provoked by the bust of the dot-com bubble and the terrorist attacks of 9/11. The US had not had a 6.7% unemployment rate since November 1993. Moreover, Mr. Bush's wreckless War on Terror has seen US$667 bn spent in Irak and US$173 bn in Afghanistan (see this). Osama Bin Laden is still at large, Al Qaeda has not been vanquished and the US reputation remains in tatters. During his administration, North Korea succeeded in testing a nuclear weapon (although Pyongyang's attempts to acquire one started well before Bush's first term in office). Today, 47 million Americans live without healthcare. Mr. Bush put strong limits to funding for stem cell research and vetoed a bill that was supposed to extend healthcare benefits for 4 million children. This list of failures can go on and on.

Indeed, Mr. Bush made America-bashing the world's favorite sport. On almost every aspect, he is leaving his country in a worse state that when he received it.

Not everything is his fault, of course. No one could ever imagine that one man alone could be blamed for the entire economic crisis. But one thing is certain: the Bush years will be remembered as a dark time in American History. A time of fear in the land of the free, of wars without victory, of irresponsible tax cuts without similar cuts in spending, of a New Orleans treated with criminal indifference after natural disaster, of waterboarding and wiretapping, of failed unilateralism and shattered alliances.

Today, while Mr. Bush makes his last calls in his residence at the White House, the world must rejoice that he is on his way out.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

On Gaza

Publicado por Gusilcan
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There is a current affair of extreme importance that I have been purposefully ignoring in this blog: Israel's military operation in Gaza. There are several reasons why I had not written anything on it until now. The most important one was because I did not want to hurt anyone with my opinions. I have good Israeli friends, good Arab friends living in Israel, good Arab friends living outside Israel, sometimes because their Palestinian parents had to seek refuge elsewhere, and good Jewish friends, all of whom I did not want to upset. My opinion, coming from a college junior born in South America who has never stepped on the Middle East, counts for very litte. I did not know if putting up my thoughts here would be worth it, especially when there is a very good chance that someone I care for could stop talking to me.

And that is, perhaps, one of the greatest problems surrounding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: everyone wants to have an opinion about it, but the issues are so polarizing that it is very hard to come to an agreement, even among friends. However, I decided that I was not going to shy away from it and I decided to write. So here I go.

This week, as the number of dead people in Gaza surpassed 1,000, the Israeli armed forces continued their military operation in the strip. Reportedly, a third of those dead have been children and there are nearly 5,000 people injured. Israel continues its attack by air and land: their purpose is to reduce Hamas, the terrorist (rightly branded as such by Israel, the US and the EU) organization that controls Gaza since 2005, to a point in which it will not be able to rearm or pose a major security threat to Israel.

Hamas, which denies Israel's right to existence, took control of the Gaza Strip by force in July 2007, after their unity government with Fatah was dissolved by Mahmoud Abbas, the President of the Palestinian Authority. However, Hamas had been firing rockets into Israeli territory for a long time before that. Since 2001, more than 8,600 Hamas missiles have hit Israel's southern towns, although the numbers of Israeli casualties have been pretty low. Moreover, Israel organized an electricity and fuel blockade directed at Gaza, in an attempt to make Hamas stop firing its missiles. Given Gaza's very weak economy, many accused Israel of "collective punishment" against the Palestinians.

Israel maintains that their incursion within Gaza was necessary in order to stop the rain of Hamas' rockets. Although that halt has not happened yet, the Israeli government had both the right and the duty to defend its people and its territory. No decent state could have allowed a constant attack of missiles on its population to go unchecked, regardless of the size of the death toll. As The Economist put it last week, Israel was provoked.

But that doesn't mean that Israel's military operation is totally justifiable. There are reasonable doubts that the Israeli army may be violating the principle of proportionality, the rule enshrined in international law that the use of force must match the size of the threat (e.g., you shouldn't nuke the FARC, even if that's what you want to do). But in any case, the Israeli army has much more sophisticated equipment and better training than the Palestinians -even if they had attacked Gaza with their lightest arms, someone would have blamed the Israelis for using overwhelming force. Moreover, the number of civilian deaths has been too high to be ignored. Pictures of bleeding children and of desperate mothers crying helplessly over their son's bodies have taken over the media, triggering a large number of anti-Israeli protests around the globe. News stories about schools and the UN relief agency being bombed have only increased the indignation of the many who do not understand Israel's actions.

Nonetheless, it is also true that Israel has been throwing flyers and using radio stations in order to alert ordinary Palestinians about imminent attacks, so they can evacuate their homes. Many, however, ask the question "evacuate to where?" It is difficult to get out of the Gaza strip under the present conditions, and even if Israel is trying hard to minimize civilian casualties (as it is its duty, according to the laws of war) collateral damage has been unavoidable.

So far, Israel seems to have made progress in its war against its enemies: Said Siyam, Hamas' interior minister and a senior member of the organization, was killed in an air raid. Many other Hamas members have also died in the last few days. Israel is eager to show that it can still fight and win, unlike in Lebanon in 2006. But will Israel be able to weaken Hamas irreversibly through military means? Perhaps not. One of the effects of the war is that it has united each side of the population around their respective leaders and their causes. In Israel, the war is widely popular, as is Ehud Barak, the Minister of Defense. In Gaza, similarly, the attack may be having an adverse effect, as it radicalizes many angered Palestinians and draws them closer to Hamas' point of view. Furthermore, there is always the danger that if the war doesn't stop soon it may reach regional dimensions, with Hezbollah in Lebanon fighting to help its cousins from Hamas, as they have already started to do.

In the end, my biggest hope is that diplomacy and compromise can prevail, even if all agreements are unlikely to last very long. There is growing talk about a ceasefire brokered by Egypt, the other country that has a border with the Gaza Strip (one the Egyptians have also closed in order to prevent a massive movement of Palestinians into their territory). Whether the conditions will be accepted by the government of Ehud Olmert or by Hamas remains to be seen. On Thursday, news reports talked of an alleged "green light" to the agreement given by an Israeli representative in Cairo, while Hamas said it accepted the text with some reservations. In the meantime, Gaza saw its most intense fighting since the beginning of the operation.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

A Tale of Two Re-elections: Chavez and Uribe look ahead for a third term in office

Publicado por Gusilcan
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Imagine that George Bush had run for a third term as President of the United States. Perhaps a lot of Democrats would have thanked him for that -it would have surely been an easier election for their candidate. But of course, the 22nd amendment of the United States Constitution prevented Mr. Bush from giving democrats that great pleasure. On 1947, three years after Franklin D. Roosevelt had been elected President for his fourth term (he was elected in 1932, 1936, 1940 and 1944. FDR died in office in 1945), Congress passed the amendment to the Constitution that allowed presidents to run for re-election only once (just like George Washington had done, leaving the Presidency in 1747). In 1951, the amendment became enshrined in the Constitution as the required number of States passed it. Ever since, no US President has served more than 8 years or even thought about passing a new amendment to override the 22nd.

But in places like Colombia and Venezuela, where constitutions are not as sacrosanct as in the United States, Presidents have an easier time changing the limits to their number of terms. After all, since its independence Venezuela has had over 20 different constitutions and Colombia's charter, dating from 1991, already has a good number of changes from its original version. Recently, President Alvaro Uribe of Colombia and Hugo Chavez of Venezuela have been following that Latin American tradition of rapid constitutional change in trying to find ways to alter their respective constitutions so that they could stay in power for a bit longer.

President Uribe ends his (second) term on 2010. Being widely popular among Colombians (over 75% of Colombians are said to support his administration), more than 4 million of them signed a petition to Congress to allow for a referendum to ask the question of a third presidential term directly to the people. If the referendum passes, the Constitution would have to be reformed. The crux of the matter is that until recently President Uribe had been completely ambiguous about the possibility of a third term, but that changed quickly when he sent his Ministers to the House of Representatives to apply political pressure when lawmakers were reluctant to accept the petition for a referendum. With that ugly move, Mr. Uribe showed that he was more than willing to run for a third term and, as the newsweekly Semana noted recently, he left Colombia's political apparatus in limbo. Parties and other potential candidates for the presidency do not know how to react to this new and unprecedented scenario.

On his side of the border, President Chavez is again trying to push for the indefinite re-election that Venezuelans denied him in a referendum in 2007. Ever since he lost that vote, Mr. Chavez has never hesitated to say that he would continue trying to make Venezuelans let him in the Presidency, why not, until 2019. Recently, Mr. Chavez has made public his plans to call another referendum, this time to ask his fellow citizens whether they accept to lift term limits to all elected officials, meaning that not only the President but mayors, lawmakers and governors could be re-elected indefinitely. Mr. Chavez is extending his re-election manoeuver not out of generosity, but because his 1998 Constitution does not allow the same question to be asked twice (ie, he is trying to find his way around the law so that he can ask Venezuelans what they have already answered).

Perhaps both leaders, who clearly dislike each other even if sometimes they smile and joke during press conferences together, have more in common than they would like to admit. Or perhaps both men are seeking for their own re-election in fear that the other one would succeed in his effort and be left in power for a longer time. After all, it is not a secret that Mr. Uribe and Mr. Chavez see each other as a threat for their respective countries and policies. This explanation, however, may be farfetched.

Will Mr. Uribe and Mr. Chavez succeed in their efforts? Even if I don't like making predictions, for politics is the realm of the unexpected, I think that in the end, neither of them will end up winning a new term in the presidency. The referendum in Colombia has many obstacles before it can finally be voted by the people. The Senate first needs to approve it (they probably will) and then the Constitutional Court has to give its own opinion (a trickier feat). Also, an investigation has been opened about the origins of the funds used to organize the petition for the referendum. Apparently, the organizers of the petition ignored the law and allowed several people to donate more money than what is permitted in these cases under Colombian law. If this was the case, it is likely that the referendum will never take place. Then, assuming that the referendum could overcome all these stages, more than 7 million people would have to vote it so that it can pass. This is a tougher challenge for Uribe, considering that despite his larger popularity numbers, only 52%of Colombians say to agree to his re-election.

For Chavez, the outlook is not much better. Last November his party lost its domination of important parts of the country in regional elections. Violence and insecurity are running high, as are concerns about corruption within the government. For all the alleged triumphs of Mr. Chavez's 21st Century Socialism (which smells a lot like the 20th Century version -just add some oil), ordinary Venezuelans are starting to be concerned about the way their country is heading. Last year, a couple of Italian filmmakers who adored Chavez went to Venezuela to make a documentary about the achievements of his Bolivarian Revolution. What they found (misery, autocracy, popular discontent, lack of basic public services and food) left them astonished. They finished the documentary alright (called La Minaccia, or The Threat) but it had a very different message to the one they intended to show originally. In the end, these Italians were expelled from Venezuela, although they managed to show their film in Europe. It has won several awards. With problems mounting over him, not to mention the recent sharp drop in oil prices, Mr. Chavez will have a tough time convincing Venezuelan's to crown him their eternal President.

Nonetheless, I warn you, my predictions may prove wrong: it would be a mistake to underestimate either Mr. Chavez or Mr. Uribe, whose grip on power in their respective countries remains very strong. It is possible that the Chavez-Uribe melodrama will be having a third season.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Unveilng the Ban: An appraisal of the French law of March 15, 2004

Publicado por Gusilcan
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On March 15th 2004, the French parliament passed a law that forbids the use of the Muslim headscarf, the hijab, in public schools. This move by French lawmakers, heeded by former President Jacques Chirac, created immense controversy inside and outside of France, a country that has Europe's largest Muslim population. People for and against the law took the streets, while some foreign governments, including the Americans, argued that this "headscarf ban" violated the right to religious expression. On their side, the law's supporters maintained that the ban was necessary in order to preserve the secular essence of the French public school system.

Recently, I wrote a paper about this issue, making some policy recommendations and assessing the impact of the law. I decided to put up some excerpts (the first part of the paper and the conclusions) from it here. If everything does not make perfect sense it may be because some sentences refer to other parts of the paper not shown here:

After March 15, 2004, when the French government passed a law that forbids the use of the Islamic headscarf1 in public schools, many inside and outside France expressed their concern. The Union of French Islamic Organizations (UOIF in French), for instance, encouraged girls to test the new law and to go to class “in the clothes they have decided to wear.” On its part, Human Rights Watch, the New York-based advocacy group, stated that banning the use of the hijab was both “discriminatory” and “an unwarranted infringement on the right to religious practice.” Other governments in Western Europe, and some women's and Muslim organizations in France reacted similarly against the so-called headscarf ban.

At the time, however, surveys showed that around 69 per cent of French citizens were in favor of the new law. Even more than 40 per cent of French Muslim respondents declared to be supporters of the ban. Clearly, the way the law was perceived in Paris was very different from the way people in Washington or London understood it. For the French, the ban put an end to a nation-wide debate that had been on the spotlight for fifteen years; in other parts of Europe and across the Atlantic, the law should have never been passed in the first place. Today, four years after the implementation of the headscarf ban, France remains the only major Western country to impose such a rule on its students.

It must be noted that, although the text of the law forbids the use of all “conspicuous” (ostensible) signs that indicate a student's religious affiliation, thus banning also the Jewish kippa and large crucifixes, the law was almost exclusively meant to target the Muslim headscarf.1 This paper also explores the causes of this understanding of the law. Thus, the analysis offered here revolves around the following main questions: What ideas, events and actors, social, political or otherwise, led to the proclamation of the headscarf ban? Is the law an obstacle to France's commitment to protect freedom of religious expression? How has French society assimilated the law throughout the past four years? And ultimately, should the headscarf ban be upheld?

The first dispute about foulards (foulard is another name in French for the Muslim headscarf) in public schools that got national attention occurred in Creil, near Paris, on September 1989. That month, three Muslim girls of North African origin were expelled from the local middle-school after they refused to remove their headscarves inside the classroom.1 French mass media took the incident at heart and gave it ample coverage, putting the issue at the top of the political agenda of the time. Both the President François Mitterrand and the Prime Minister Lionel Jospin gave their general opinion of the matter, although in the end the case was resolved by the State Council, France's highest administrative court. The Council ruled that the girls must be readmitted by the school, for they had the right to wear the foulard in the classroom as long as they did not alter “the normal functioning” of student life.

However, the number of incidents and their complexity kept growing with time. Throughout the 1990s more veiled girls were expelled from public schools and, in some cases, groups of teachers went on strike to express their support for the headscarf measures while the cases were being evaluated by the courts. By the late 1990s, there were around 150 headscarf incidents per annum; the number had been much higher by the middle of the decade. There were other instances in which veiled mothers were not permitted to accompany their children in school trips. In some schools, principals and school boards simply forbade the use of all types of head coverings, including bandanas and smaller, more discreet scarves.

In the meantime, the number of organizations, work unions and social groups that took a stake in the incidents kept growing, as well: at first sight, the issue seemed to concern only the affected students, their families and the staff at their specific schools; in reality, however, the debate became heavily influenced by teacher unions, French intellectuals, the media, Muslim organizations such as UOIF, feminist leagues, and anti-discrimination advocacy groups like SOS-Racisme. Of course, politicians and the French state also became involved in the issue: cabinet ministers and party leaders often gave opinions regarding the expulsions and the use of the headscarf, while judges followed a case-by-case approach in trying to solve the numerous disputes. More often than not, the judges reaffirmed the girls' right to wear the hijab in class and ordered their readmission to the schools.

But, why did the French public become so concerned with the fact that some girls decided to attend school wearing a Muslim headscarf? Why did teachers and school principals order these students to remove their foulard in the first place? Broadly speaking, there are two answers to the questions above. The first one relates to both the history and the values of the French Republic. Among Western countries, France is special in that it spouses a very strict form of secularism, which the French refer to as laïcité. Under laïcité, which is enshrined in the first article of the 1958 Constitution, the French state is supposed to remain neutral vis-a-vis all religions. By extension, laïcité implies that public spaces in France, such as hospitals, government offices and schools, must remain neutral in this regard, as well. In the late 19th Century, for example, Catholic priests were banned from teaching and crucifixes were removed from public schools in the name of laïcité. Nowadays, French nurses, doctors, teachers and public servants are generally obliged to take off any elements that may indicate their religious affiliation. Furthermore, public schools hold a sacrosanct place in the French social imaginary. The Republican school (“l'école républicaine”) is meant to be the one place where children are educated to be good citizens, growing up equal to one another. After 1989, when school principals expelled Muslim students who refused to remove their headscarves, they did so by invoking the principle of laïcité, which the girls were allegedly undermining with their deliberate expression of their religious affiliation. Indeed, much of the debate about the voile focused on whether the laïcité of the Republican schools was being threatened. In order to achieve a good republican education, so the argument goes, students need to study in a difference-free environment, one in which their belonging to different religions should not become evident.

Nonetheless, there is a second reason behind the widespread concern with the hijab between 1989 and 2004: a worsening in the way Islam was perceived by French mainstream society correlated with a rise in the visibility of Muslims in France. Starting with the Iranian Revolution of 1979, the final decades of the 20th Century saw the rise of radical interpretations of Islam. Events such as the assassination of the Egyptian president Anwar Saddat by the Muslim Brotherhood in 1981, the rise to power of the Taleban in Afghanistan in 1996, and the crude civil war in Algeria involving the Islamic Salvation Front and other Islamist groups, caught the attention of Western audiences.10 Images and stories of Muslim women entirely covered in dark robes, and obliged to preserve strict codes of behavior, became more frequent for people in France and other nations. Al Qaeda's terrorist attacks on the United States on September 11, 2001 only exacerbated the problem, leading many Westerners to adopt a warier attitude towards Muslims, and making them perceive Islamic values as incompatible with their own. Of course, this change in perception charged a high toll on the large majority of Muslims who rejected the radical and often violent interpretations of Islam spoused by the groups mentioned above. Tensions between Muslims and non-Muslims in the West were bound to increase.

France, home of Europe's largest Muslim community, was to be particularly affected by this state of affairs. John Bowen has collected testimonies of veiled Muslim women in France who maintain that they were the target of offensive behavior in the days following the attacks on the Twin Towers and the Pentagon. Doubtless, fears about the threat to laïcité allegedly posed by the hijab, were affected by the increasing suspicion shown towards French Muslims. Furthermore, this evolution in the French perception of Islam coincided with an increase in the number of Muslims in France, as immigration from Muslim countries rose sharply in the second half of the 20th century: between 1962 and 1999, for example, the number of Maghrebians doubled as a percentage of the total number of immigrants in France. There was a less pronounced increase in the number of immigrants from Turkey and from countries in Africa outside the Maghreb, many of which have Muslim populations, as well. Clearly, this led to an increase in the number of Muslim students and a to multiplication of foulards in public schools by the end of the century. There was growing anxiety among many school teachers, and many of them mobilized to demand that the headscarves be kept out the classroom. The combination of these elements brought the issue of the foulard to the fore of the political debate.

It was in mid 2003 that a commission named by President Jacques Chirac produced an influential report that first suggested the imposition of the headscarf ban. This 'Stasi report', nicknamed after Bernard Stasi, the leader of the commission and France's ombudsman at the time, was supposed to give advice regarding the principle of laïcité and the way it should be applied inside the French Republic. At the time, however, it was understood that the commission's main task was to decide upon the steps the State should take regarding foulards in public schools. The commission interviewed school principals and teachers, police officers, religious leaders, representatives from several political parties, NGO directors, work union members, journalists, parliament deputies, and government ministers. In its 77 page long report issued in December 2003, the commission recommended “the adoption of a law regarding laïcité”, whereby all elements indicating “political or religious membership (appartenance)” would be forbidden in public schools. Besides, the Stasi report also made secondary and more general recommendations, such as the “destruction of urban ghettos”, the construction of public schools in each town, and the creation of an “authority to fight against discrimination”.

That same month, President Chirac saluted the job of the commission and decided to push for a law that banned the use of conspicuous religious signs in schools. There were voices that maintained that Chirac's actions were the result of his need to appeal to unionized workers from the left, fond of strict definitions of laïcité, as well as to those voters from the right who had been seduced by the racist rhetoric of the Front National in the last presidential election.21 In any case, three months later Parliament passed the law by an ample majority, although its final text differed somewhat from the one proposed by the Stasi report. Starting September 2004, French Muslim girls were not allowed to enter public schools wearing their foulards.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

France's headscarf ban approved on March 15, 2004 is an unnecessary piece of legislation. For fifteen years before the ban, the many disputes regarding veiled Muslim girls who were expelled from public schools had effectively been resolved by the French judicial system. In the early 2000s, the number of such disputes had decreased markedly from its peak in the early 1990s, and so, the need for a headscarf ban in order to avoid further confrontation was comparatively low in 2004.

The Stasi commission recommended an approach that was, explicitly, an impartial effort meant to protect the laïc values of the French Republic and of the public school system. Implicitly, however, their recommendations and the ensuing law, were tainted with rising fear and anxiety about Muslim customs and behavior. These rise of these fears within French society are explained by the rise of Islamic fundamentalism in Iran and Afghanistan, for example, events like the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington, and the aftermath of the end of French colonization in North Africa, among other factors. Moreover, the adequateness of recommendations made by the Stasi commission is debatable, given that the commission effectively excluded veiled Muslim women from its deliberations.

Nevertheless, the law banning all conspicuous religious signs does not constitute an overwhelming violation of human rights and freedoms. The scope and reach of the law are fairly limited and a similar ban has been upheld by the European Court of Human Rights. France did not become considerably less free or considerably less just because its lawmakers approved the headscarf ban. With the way the law is drafted, it is hard to demonstrate that there is something overtly discriminatory and unjust about the ban. Furthermore, restrictions and guidelines regarding attire and clothing are commonplace in many other schools around the world. The impact of the law is also attenuated by the fact that Muslim students have still may wear the foulard in private schools.

Certainly, the French approach to issues surrounding the hijab is an exception within the Western world. The British, the American and the German governments tolerate headscarves in their public schools. However, the political histories and constitutions of these four nations are also different in a good number of ways, and France's extraordinary commitment to secularism, essential to understand this issue, is also an exception within the Western world.

This is not to say that the headscarf ban was either desirable or beneficial. On the contrary, the law helped to increase conflict with French Muslims, a community that was already at a disadvantage within France, and one whose integration with mainstream society has been particularly difficult. In proclaiming the law, French politicians opened more wounds in the thorny relationship between Muslims and the rest of French society. In this sense, banning the headscarf in public schools was an irresponsible and counterproductive act. Given the low number of disputes regarding headscarves, it is difficult to see why and from whom French laïcité needed to be protected by means of a headscarf ban. In addition, arguments that the law was necessary in order to prevent parents from limiting their daughters' freedom of choice can be dismissed on the grounds that the ban may also constitute an obstacle to the independence of the young women who have opted freely for wearing the hijab.

Hence, the following are the policy recommendations regarding this issue:

1.In the short-term, there should be no attempts to revise or repeal the law of March 15, 2004 banning all conspicuous religious signs in public schools. Although it seems that there was no real need to pass this law in the first place, it would be unwise to relive the controversy around this issue. Today, four years after its implementation, the law has been assimilated as a fait accompli by the French society as a whole, including Muslims. Bringing the subject to the surface once again is likely to reopen the same wounds and trigger the same disagreements of the beginning of this decade. However preferable a revision of the law may be, France would risk creating greater polarization with a new nationwide discussion about the issue at a time when there is no certitude that a change in policy will ensue.

2.In March 2014, when the law reaches it's tenth anniversary, name a new commission to assess the impact of the headscarf ban and decide upon its continuity. The previous recommendation does not imply that the France should never revise the headscarf ban. There is little doubt that the law of March 15, 2004 has been successful in lowering the number of disputes related to the hijab in France's public schools, but this effect may be reversible and should not be taken for granted. If there is little improvement or a worsening of the economic and political status of Muslims in France, there is a high probability of unrest in the future, perhaps including a new series of incidents regarding the hijab. Moreover, and although at present there is no political will to revise the ban, this is also prone to change in the future. This is why it is recommended that a new commission be named to reflect upon the adequateness of the law after its first ten years of implementation.

3.As soon as possible, the French state should give fiscal and economic incentives for the creation of Muslim schools. It is recommended that the number of years needed for a Muslim private school to become eligible for public funding be reduced from five to two years. Muslim schools that decide not to receive public money should benefit from tax breaks, while all private donations given to these schools should, automatically, become tax deductible. The French state may decide whether to extend these benefits to all private schools, confessional or otherwise, or to make them exclusive for the creation of Muslim schools, in which case the state should set a limit of 300 new institutions that would benefit from these incentives. The above need not imply a relaxation in the other sorts of controls that the French state imposes upon private schools.
These incentives are needed in order to minimize the adverse effects that the law of March 15, 2004 has on Muslim female students and to reach parity regarding the numbers of private religious schools.

4.Every time a new commission is set up in order to propose policy and legal recommendations, a small group of scholars should be appointed to assess the objectivity of the commission's work. Although commissions are usually composed of educated people, with knowledge of the subjects they are treating, their influence and their methodology often go unchecked. This was the case of the Stasi commission, whose approach to the issue of the application of laïcité in public schools was objectionable. Hence, it is recommended that a small body of four to five scholars be appointed to oversee and review the work of every future commission. These overseers, who should be appointed by someone other than those appointing the commissions, should look for and warn about biases and lack of thoroughness in the methodology followed by commissions.
 

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